Erkezhan Arystanbekova vs Fotima Mahmudova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does recent second serve performance look? Arystanbekova has recently achieved a higher second serve win rate at 37.21% compared to Mahmudova's 34.92%, which is a crucial factor in predicting match outcomes.
• What about return game effectiveness? Mahmudova demonstrates superior return skills, winning an impressive 62.69% of second serve return points against opponents, whereas Arystanbekova wins only 49.3%. For first serve return points, Mahmudova also leads with 42.31%, slightly ahead of Arystanbekova at 38.6%.
• Under pressure, Mahmudova excels by saving 55.56% of breakpoints, noticeably outperforming Arystanbekova who saves 45%.
• In terms of overall match performance over the last year, Arystanbekova holds an edge with a 66.67% win rate, compared to Mahmudova's 50%.
• Both players have a 50% win rate on hard courts, which is their preferred surface.
• What can be said about the level of competition? Arystanbekova has competitively engaged at a slightly higher level, securing two out of three matches in $10K tournaments, while Mahmudova has split hers evenly.
• Against higher-ranked opponents, Mahmudova has competed against players averaging a rank of 448, suggesting exposure to stiffer competition than Arystanbekova, who faced opponents with an average rank of 0.
• If the contest involves a deciding set, both players share a 50% success rate in such scenarios over the last year.
• Mahmudova shows greater breakpoint efficiency, converting 61.11% of opportunities, compared to Arystanbekova's 32%.

Editorial Prediction (June 10, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match pits two players with distinct strengths and recent performances against each other. Arystanbekova's superior second serve points win percentage suggests she might hold an edge on service games.

However, Mahmudova's strong return game statistics could offset this, as she consistently pressures opponents by winning more return points, especially on second serves.

Additionally, Mahmudova exhibits remarkable resilience in saving breakpoints and converting her own, which can prove decisive during tight contests.

Both competitors have proficient performances on their preferred surface—hard courts—indicating no significant advantage there.

Given these facts, Mahmudova's combination of return game prowess and breakpoint efficiency positions her as the likely victor in this matchup.